The connection between solar activity and global warming has been a contentious issue for a long time. The idea that cosmic rays create global cloud cover just doesn’t seem to be working out; even the highest estimates of cloud cover variation caused by cosmic ray flux predict the effect to be very small. Now UK scientists have stepped into the debate, producing scientific evidence that there is no link between global warming, cosmic rays and solar activity. Sorry global warming sceptics, we might have to cut back on the emissions after all…
The connection between solar activity and global warming is thought to go like this: The Sun experiences massive changes in energy output throughout the 11-year solar cycle. At its peak (at solar maximum), the Sun’s influence over local space is at its highest. Its massive magnetic field will envelop the Earth and spiral into interplanetary space. As it does so, the immense and large-scale solar wind will deflect high energy cosmic rays. So, counter-intuitively, when the Sun is at its most active, cosmic ray collisions with the atmosphere is at its lowest. It is has been predicted by scientists such as Henrik Svensmark at the Danish National Space Center (DNSC) that these high energy cosmic rays will impact the Earth’s atmosphere, create droplets of water, thus generating cloud cover. So, following this logically, we should have a global decrease in cloud cover during periods of high solar activity (when cosmic rays are not deflected by the solar wind), causing global warming (as there will be less clouds to reflect the solar radiation). Many of the climate problems we are having at the moment can then be attributed to the Sun and not human activity.
But there’s a problem. As previously reported by the Universe Today, research groups will often publish conflicting results about the cosmic ray effect on cloud production. In one of the most definitive results to come out of this area of study has just been announced by UK scientists, and guess what? The Sun/cosmic-ray theory has no measurable effect on the climate change we are currently experiencing.
Dr. Svensmark’s idea was central to the science behind the documentary “The Great Global Warming Swindle” where the human impact on global climate change was brought into question. This theory has been under fire since its conception by highly regarded scientists such as Mike Lockwood from the UK’s Rutherford-Appleton Laboratory. Svensmark stands by his work. So with this in mind, Dr. Terry Sloan from Lancaster University set out to prove Svensmark’s hypothesis. But the results aren’t pretty.
“We tried to corroborate Svensmark’s hypothesis, but we could not […] So we had better carry on trying to cut carbon emissions.” – Dr. Terry Sloan
In a separate study, Giles Harrison from Reading University, also studied the effect of cosmic ray flux on the amount of cloud cover, stating it is an important area of research, “…as it provides an upper limit on the cosmic ray-cloud effect in global satellite cloud data“. Although restricted to the atmosphere above the UK, Harrison’s study also returns the verdict that there is only a very weak cosmic ray effect on cloud production.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released a report last year pointing the finger at human activity as the root cause behind global warming. There are very strong correlations between carbon emissions and global warming since the 1970s, so the IPCC has strongly recommended that the international community make radical cuts to their carbon emissions. What’s more the IPCC point out that the contribution from greenhouse gas emissions outweighs the effect of solar variability by a factor of 13 to one.
“…as far as we can see, he has no reason to challenge the IPCC – the IPCC has got it right.” – Dr. Terry Sloan
Source: BBC
Just sharing my thoughts:
Just because greenhouse gas emissions (whether it be in the form of carbon dioxide, methene or, indeed, water) appear to be the dominant source for the global warming effect does not mean there are *not* other effects at play. Personally, I was very intrigued by the cosmic ray hypothesis, and so were many other scientists. It has been studied rigorously of the last few years, but the fact remains that there is very little evidence to suggest this theory may aid global warming. This is science at work, testing and proving/disproving theories.
We know that global temperatures are rising due to human-caused emissions, and this effect dwarfs any other proposed mechanism (and yes, there is scientific evidence for this!).
I for one pray that there will be a “perfectly simple explanation” to the global warming phenomenon, tying in some overlooked natural mechanism, perhaps helping us understand climate dynamics a bit better, but it ain’t looking good. We are the root cause of global warming whether we like it or not… but scientists will continue to look at other mechanisms that may be aiding global warming. Alas, it seems, cosmic ray flux isn’t significant. This by no means reflects people’s “closed mindedness”, all theories are being tested in the aim of understanding our planet that little bit better.
Cheers, Ian
Looks like the paper in question is this one: Sloan & Wolfendale, Testing the proposed link between cosmic rays and cloud cover, http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2298.
Ditto what David said.
I also am not a sceptic either. The environment is changing. I have pondered the sun’s affect on climate as well. It seems to me that if the sun were to suddenly stop shining, it would affect our climate. If the sun were to suddenly nova, it would also affect our climate. So, to carte blanche dismiss the sun as having any impact on our climate because one single theory hasn’t been figured out is exactly where the sceptics get their skepticism. I personally have never narrowed my mind down to the logic that one single issue controls our climate. We stop burning fossile fuels and the climate suddenly stabilizes, never to change again? That’s just nuts. Surely an educated scientist would have to agree. So, it’s not a matter of man being Godlike in his control over climate. It’s a matter of Man understanding his impact on the climate and mitigating it as much as possible in a responsible way. Dumping mercury into our system to save a few watts of electricity and destroying our rain forests to sell more bio-diesel is not responsible climate control. It’s the law now, thanks to overzealous global warming advocates, but it’s a looming environmental disaster with consequences lasting generations. So, the sceptics that you and Al Gore like to belittle are not wanting the end of the world due to stupidity, we’re trying to keep the world safe from the reactionaries that in my earlier adulthood were worrying everyone sick about the impending ice age. and had tons of evidence to prove it was right around the corner.
Thank you Tammy!! 🙂
I’ve read/heard theories that warming and at times cooling can be affect by changes in the earths wobble, not necessarily sun output. Have there been any studies on this theoretical link?
“Sorry global warming sceptics, we might have to cut back on the emissions after all…”
I am not a global warming sceptic. I simply do not understand the resistance to looking at all the science to understand the relationship between carbon and warming. There is, no doubt, a strong link between human activity (I will say carbon since Ian seems so fixated on that word)…but what I don’t understand is the resistance to understanding the relationship between all the variables that may be interacting to produce a warming effect. The geologic record is all but ignored in our pop-fixation on “we can solve global warming by stopping carbon.” For the record, I am overjoyed that somone actually took the time to test a hypothesis involving cosmic ray flux. How about applying the same rigor to other hypotheses that are being ignored in the name of carbon? And also for the record, I am not for a minute suggesting that we continue our pathological obsession with petroleum and other carbon-based products. I’m simply interested in all of the science and how it interacts TOGETHER with human activity.
Here is one article that I found that will at least provide some preliminary insight into what I meant by the geologic record.
http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/transit.html
There is lots of good, researchable science worth considering even from a surface reading of an article like this one.
@David,
> How about applying the same rigor to other
> hypotheses that are being ignored in the name of
> carbon?
It isn’t fair to say that other factors are being ignored, and the suggestion that the geologic record has been ignored is ludicrous. It has been looked at extensively, and causes of past warming have been ruled out. People are just fed up with deniers coming up with whatever tenuous/non-existent idea they can to say “Look! Not us!”. Human carbon emissions are the major cause behind the recent warming, and that broad picture isn’t going to change, though details will be refined (for example, recent studies indicate that the impact of soot may have been underestimated – but not to the point that it comes close to threatening CO2 emissions as the prime culprit).
i know this might be a rather fine detail to bring into this discussion, but with all the data i’ve read lately, like going back about 10 years, i feel that we may be ignoring the most important question- WHAT WARMING?-
how long must it NOT BE WARMING before you give this foolishness up?
if WASTE is the new unpardonable sin- when does fighting something that is not happening with a massive commitment of supposedly precious resources become unpardonable?
hmmm….
I am a GW skeptic for one reason. The wholesale dismissal of skeptics by the GW crowd. Absolute power corrupts absolutely. If scientist skeptics have to sneak around in the dark of night to keep from being exposed as heretics, something is very wrong.
There has never been an honest, open debate since the introduction of Al Gore’s ridiculous, inaccurate propaganda film. Please, I beg all of you, before we collect a trillion dollars that disappears down a bureaucratic rat-hole based on computer models based on theory, can we have an honest debate?
In a way I’m inclined to say ‘so what’. If the effect of CO2 on the climate has been overestimated enormously, it would still be a good idea to eg: replace all the coal with nuclear for electricity generation.
That would cut emissions of heavy metals SO2 etc. & save a cheap source of carbon for making liquid fuels for running mobile machinery like cars & farm tractors. A use of fossil fuels for which we don’t yet have a good substitute.
You may have included an extra ‘not’ in parenthesis, as he solar wind would actually deflect more cosmic rad.
I like this (old) theory as I believe the sun, moon, planetary alignment, interplanetary flux, etc DO impact climate in some way. I admit that gravitational incongrueties of too many planets aligning themselves juxtapositely one side or another (from sun) may not amount to a graviton bean, but hey, neither does the bias/gate of a transistor, yet amplification does occur.
I still like Milankovich’s cycles & need to learn more @ sun; what’s this about a millisecond of power from slow solar flare trumps annual global power production?
The ice ages convened w 100,000 yr regularity over past couple million, interspersed w interglacial epochs of 10,000 to 14,000. We’re sitting on a precarious 12,500 right now, don’t tip the see-saw.
I’m miffed that nobody has comented on Don Hammaker’s work from the 80s. He’s the most prolific climate scientist I’ve read b/c he accounted for the interplay b/w hot & cold by water. Water absorbs and releases heat, changes phases, promotes weathering, reactions, sedimentation, mineralization & even life. This supercapacitor stores heat, dissolves salts, while precipitating cold. Water turns hot/cold inside/out & makes our atmosphere & climate. Goes beyond the hydrologic cycle! You can’t understand climate change w/o unique H20 influence. I fear you won’t find life on other planets w/o water first. Even algae produce half our oxygen today. Here’s to you Mr. Hammaker!
Outstanding article, Ian!
Certainly, reducing carbon emmissions is good, if for nothing else, clean fresh air to breath. But if carbon emmissions are the only thing changing our climate, what on earth were we buring 35,000 years ago to reverse the last ice age, or any of the past ice ages for that matter. Sure will be curious when the melting of Greenland brings about our next ice age. Ahh, anyone got some spare fuel I can burn?
I agree with Rusty and Jim. But it is confusing when you hear of reports like the UN had last week, where they said after studying massive amount of data from thousands of sources, that the average global temp has actually decreased over the last 10 years. They were amazed at the findings of their scientist (who were just as amazed and almost didn’t release their report).
If I can find the report online, I’ll comment again with a link to it. I originally heard it on the news.
The discussion about global warming is so politically motivated now that it is hard for me to believe who is telling the truth on any of this.
They say we should use bio-fuel and legislate its use, but then it turns out this causes more carbon to be release… – so is it just a subsidy for corn farmers?
They say we should use those energy efficient light bulbs, but then it turns out there is mercury in them… – so is it just a subsidy for GE?
Although I believe Ian’s intentions are pure, there is too much money in this whole global warming thing for any reasonable person not to have some suspicions.
I thought another theory related to cosmic rays was related to our movement above and below the plane of the galaxy such that our exposure to these rays would change over large time scales. I’m not sure what the period of that oscillation might be. I assume it would be measured in at least hundreds of thousands of years, if not millions.
With regards to short term oscillations I suspect that there are several different factors with different periods ands magnitudes that sum together to cause large dips and peaks at various times and that these dwarf CO2 related effects. I’m still waiting for more data and theories before I commit to either side. Besides, if CO2 is so critical you might as well shut down this blog and save all the electricty that is associated with visiting it. Or is the income related to this blog more important?
Miss using an absoulte such as ‘NO’ link, already shows how wrong they are an how sensationalistic they are trying to be.
cheers.
t
@Clint
http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/02/19/january-2008-4-sources-say-globally-cooler-in-the-past-12-months/
Regards, Alex
Cosmic rays aside, the statement that solar activity has no connection to climate change on a planet is a very bold and, well…a strange one. A star doesn’t influence a planet’s climate? Since when?
As for Andy C’s “…and the suggestion that the geologic record has been ignored is ludicrous. It has been looked at extensively, and causes of past warming have been ruled out….” – sorry, but if the geological record of climate change HAS really been looked at extensively and taken into consideration seriously, we wouldn’t be talking about human-induced global warming.
Clearly, from the evidence, global warming is real, and anthropogenitic factors have a great deal to do with it. That said, the Little Ice Age, from 1300-1850, was a time of very low temperatures, globally speaking. It was also a time of minimal sunspots. Why sunpots should have a positive correlation with global temperature is a matter of debate, but *that* there is such a correlation seems likely. Now, for the last century-and-a-half-plus the Sun has been in an increasingly active phase, and global temperatures have increased steadily and anomolously. It’s possible that there are complex interactions between solar energy input to our biosphere and the results of human activities, and that both have to do with global temperatures. I believe that in fact some scientists are working on this. Not all the votes are in yet on this issue, so let’s be a little less absolutistic, okay, Ian?
And what we are doing to the sky in the picture above is NORMAL.
The sky always has looked like that?
4gea Says:
April 3rd, 2008 at 3:15 pm
”
Cosmic rays aside, the statement that solar activity has no connection to climate change on a planet is a very bold and, well…a strange one. A star doesn’t influence a planet’s climate? Since when?
As for Andy C’s “…and the suggestion that the geologic record has been ignored is ludicrous. It has been looked at extensively, and causes of past warming have been ruled out….” – sorry, but if the geological record of climate change HAS really been looked at extensively and taken into consideration seriously, we wouldn’t be talking about human-induced global warming.”
4gea, nobody has suggested that the Sun has nothing to do with global climate. Instead, the mechanisms proposed (by human caused global warming skeptics) that are supposed to be causing the warming effect are a) not borne out by evidence, and b) seem to have almost zero correlation with global climatic effects. Stating that the Sun has no effect on climate is a completely different assertion, and frankly, stating that that is what scientists believe is a straw man argument.
Likewise, Andy C clearly states that the geologic record has been thoroughly examined and that the causes of previous warming events are not operating and do not apply this time around. That is a solid position backed by much scientific evidence which can be found in any journal dealing with the subject if you want to read up on it. All you seemingly have to back your position is your assertion that ‘if they had really looked at the geologic record of climate record, then they would see it my way…’ Show me the research to back it. Link me to an article in a peer-reviewed scientific journal. Show me ANY proof at all that the current warming trend can be interpreted within the framework of the G.R of climate as another similar warming event triggered by the same causes as previous events.
You may think I’m some GW nut that will argue for GW no matter what, but I’m not. I actually feel that there probably is a large component of other-than-human induced warming. But there is just no evidence as yet to back the position, so that’s all it is – a feeling. Not science.
Unfortunately, Mobocracy has taken hold in the GW debate. Politicians blow hot air, tax us for ‘OUR OWN GOOD’, the press – lacking a Cold War have a new horror story ‘end of the world’ and its our fault ,and scientists get funding, pay and pensions plus bright new equipment. What a wonderful tripod of support for GW doom and gloom. Do we little apes think we are that significant GW wise on the scale of things? if we are ,then a balanced debate without GW advocates shouting down those they brand as ‘UNCLEAN’ sceptics! would be helpful.
As for me, I don’t give a damn, humans will do what they do, regardless of the outcome and no one can stop 6 billion humans doing what they want to do!
Astrofiend (Sydney, Australia) Says:
“4gea, nobody has suggested that the Sun has nothing to do with global climate. …”
Maybe not in those words exactly, but that’s what the article’s title and content do suggest. I’m all for reporting on scientific going-ons, but lots of care should be put into how you word that what you’re saying, othervise it might be interpreted in a completely different way.
Astrofiend (Sydney, Australia) Says:
“…All you seemingly have to back your position is your assertion that ‘if they had really looked at the geologic record of climate record, then they would see it my way…’ …”
It’s not a matter of my way-your/their way – I’m not a cranky child wanting to have “my way”. Show me a good, solid evidence for human-induced GW and I’ll be looking “your way”. But all I see is people concentrating on the last century, spouting nonsense like “this was one nasty hurrican, it has to be GW-induced because my grandma doesn’t remember a strong one like it”, while they should be taking into account 4.6 billion years of paleoclimatological and geological record. That is something that many GW-proponents are not doing, and I’m not talking just about the public. They mention Little Ice Age, and think that’s all there’s to it. What about Earth’s orbital parameters (going all the way up to galactic scale, not just Solar System)? Climate cyclicity through the entire 4.6 billion years, not just the last 100? THAT’s what I’m talking about. I’m talking about that we-humans, have to stop being so arrogant, thinking we’re the cause of everyhting that’s happening around us. I’m talking about natural cycles that we cannot influence on a global scale, and, without a technology from science fiction, we can’t possibly control or “bring back into shape”. I’m talking about nonsense like CO2 restrictions, while a single volcanic eruption or one week of warfare spouts into the atmosphere more greenhouse gasses than one country does CO2 in a year. Yes, our civilisation does produce waste. Yes, our settlements do have microclimates caused by buildings, traffic and industry. Yes, our city air and the waters are/has been polluted. So what? That’s what we get for having the civilisation. We learn from it, develop new technologies and move on. And yes, our civilisation and all that it entails is a new factor in that geological record we’ve been talking about. But I’m talking about underestimating our planet, about undersetimating nature and natural processes. Of course we have influence on our environment! All I’m saying is that we give too much credit to ourselves (political and business agendas connected to GW aside).
“…Show me the research to back it. Link me to an article in a peer-reviewed scientific journal….”
Gladly, if I had such links at hand, but like I’ve said before, I’m not talking about one article, but about taking/not taking into account all the factors involved. I myself am not directly involved into a purely paleoclimatological project, although I am connected to the researches of glacials and impact-induced climate changes. But if you wish I can take a look at the resources avaliable to me on the subject.
No, I don’t think you’re a “GW nut”, just like I don’t think I’m a “sceptic nut” (or whatever they’re called). I have a good laugh when people accuse me of not “beliving in climate change”, when that is exactly what I’m talking about (I’ve noticed many people think “climate change” equals “GW”, which is definitely not the case). What I have a problem with, is human-induced GW hypothesis, not even GW itself (which is just one of natural processes). Unlike you, I see a lot of evidence to back up the position of “human-induced GW” having (at least in large part) natural causes. ..But that’s what makes these duscussions so interesting 🙂
Some say this has direct connection with Planet X. Is it true ?
And, talking about Planet X, does anyone have any latest news about this ?
Rusty… you talk about debate the cuestion… I wonder if ANY person want debate the war (you know what war I name) Debate is a democratic issue that our country has forget many years ago.
uhm… 4gea… you’re not an skeptic about “human induced GW”…? but all species we bring to stinction, all the island we shut into the water… say another thing… it’s not a geological and not a “human not guilty” event. Sorry, Its happening, perhaps it’s shaki’n your capitalist mind.
While I’m happy to accept that global warming is a reality and largely caused by humans, I prefer to sidestep the whole political minefield by pointing out that even if it weren’t, transitioning to sustainable energy sources as soon as possible is unambiguously a GOOD THING.
The oil WILL start to run out. If it does so soon, while we’re still heavily reliant on it, a worldwide economic crisis will probably result (google “peak oil”). The more we reduce our reliance on it now, the longer it will last, the longer we have access to useful materials like plastics (yes, those come from oil – we’re reliant on it for more than just gasoline), and the smoother the transition will be when it does finally get depleted. I for one prefer the non-bumpy ride.
Aside from the science that I found interesting, I found the part of the discussion regarding the impact on global warming distressing. Why must people debate what is so simple and obvious and yet so irrelevant? The Natural environment, including the sun, are capable of causing devastating changes in the earths climate over spans of time ranging from only hours in the case of tornados and hurricanes to epochs in the case of Ice ages. Do people not realize we are at nature’s mercy while we argue over whether man or nature is responsible? I accept that our pollution of the environment is deplorable and that we must learn how to exist in a state of “equilibrium” with nature. By my way of thinking, that means being “carbon neutral” on principle, regardless of whether we are causing the “global warming” happening now or not. But aside from that, I also believe we need to study the systems that affect the Earth’s climate. I believe nothing less than our survival as a civilization if not as a species is at stake. Sooner or later the next Ice age will arrive. When it does life as those in our civilization knows it will end. Mass starvation and the total collapse of nations and civil society will result. The clock is already ticking off the days to that day, and we are already several centuries over due. I see many indicators, based on past climate records that the process has already begun. I “hope”, we will not see the calamity with our own eyes, but, I fear our children, or our grandchildren, or their children will. Their only hope is to understand what causes the climate to shift and then to see that shift early enough to react in an effective manner. But honestly, I fear humanity is far too ignorant to be able to do that. That is what I see in the global warming debate…”ignorance” on both sides. It really upsets me too. Those who believe man is responsible want to po-po any science that point to nature, while those who believe nature is responsible want to po-po any science that points to man. I believe the science on both sides is correct. BOTH NATURE AND MAN are responsible. But the important question is not who or what to point the finger of blame at, but rather who will step out of the meaningless “blame game” and step forward to “lead” humanity in the pursuit of “action” (I like Al Gore). Fact is, no matter how you slice it, the sun has much more to do with the total question, in fact it may all be the sun! I read a very good article yesterday; “Climate Change and Solar Variability: What’s New under the Sun?” By Edouard Bard and Martin Frank. I found it on line via google. It clearly supports the theory that there is variability in solar output, and that it is linked to sun spot activity. It also discussed indirectly variability in the earths magnetic field. I have yet to find what I consider a conclusive link (parallel curves) between historic palioentinsity fluctuations and climate shift. However I have seen some very interesting data that show spikes and dips in the magnetic field intensity that do come at times that may indicate a relationship does exist. For instance, the palioentisity increased dramatically (from 0.8 to 2.0, up from an average of 1.0 with a deviation of 0.3) at precisely the same time as we emerged from the last Ice age. Further more un-like in previous increases (in the last 200K years) once it got to 2.0, it remained there until only a few hundred years ago. That is interesting, because the climate record indicates the present interglacial period is unique, in that it “platoed” (just like the magnetic field has) as apposed to “spiked” as both had done in the past. However the problem I see is that the peeks and valleys in palioentisity over the last 200 K years do not line up as precisely with the peeks and valleys in the climate data. However, the mal-alignment is one of timing and intensity, and not number. In other words, the peeks in one might correlate with “offset” peaks in the other. In addition to the “offsets”, the magnitudes do not look right either. But in looking at the magnetic field data, we must understand that each core represents the Local” data and as more cores are super imposed, a “global†magnetic field record will start to emerge that may provide the definitive proof of the validity of my theory in as far as the true “ICE AGE” pattern is concerned. I’m also not sure how reliable the magnetic field data is, if it is only accurate to within say 5K years and 25% intensity, then the correlation might be there hiding behind the margin of error. Especially if the margin of error increases as we go further back in time.
In reading the article, and the one I read yesterday, I find myself wondering if the sun is not totally responsible… Clearly the correlation of sun spot observations to satellite solar intensity readings are a good one leading to the conclusion that we can trust the nearly 400 years of sun-spot observations as being a good indicator of solar intensity over the past 400 years. However we have nothing that I believe provides a history of solar intensity going beyond that. What the article does mention from ice core data could easily be skewed by the fluctuations in the Earths own magnetic field. Any way, a last note on the global warming issue… What if we are already headed into the next “ice age”? And what if the CO2 we are pumping into the climate is the only thing preventing a “Natural” global catastrophe? In other words, we may be helping our selves by putting all that green house gas into the atmosphere! So I think people need to stop the “debating” and stop working against each other, and start coming together to determine what needs to be done to promote what is in all of humanities common interest here on our “Space Ship Earth”
Even if we stopped carbon emissions now. How long would it take for the effects to be noticeable? 100- 200>+ years maybe?
Surely volcanic activity on the surfice and in the oceans is having a much, much greater influence than us.
I agree that reducing our detrimental effects is a good responsible thing to do,
But put it in perspective please.
Did anyone read the brief by John Coleman (founder of the Weather Channel)?
http://media.kusi.clickability.com/documents/Comments+on+Global+Warming1.pdf
Yes, let’s keep it in perspective, please. Global warming has happened many times in the past and will many times in the future. So will ice ages. Unless we step in and interfere with it.
Oh, another intersting site. I think it can also be linked from Coleman’s brief.
http://www.icecap.us/
For some science on CO2 and its link to global warming check this link. What it will show anyone who is interested in the science of global warming is that man-made CO2 has a miniscule effect on global climate.
http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
There is money to be made from global warming in the form of government funding. I just read that the earth;s temperature hasn’t risen since 1998:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7329799.stm
I guess that’s caused by “global warming” too.
I guess the Mars Rovers are causing increased temperatures on Mars too. Naughty man, terrible man, we need fewer humans and government control of those left!
*sigh*
Why is it that everytime I hear each side of the argument, I want to vomit?
Why can’t people accept a common medium ground, like humans have played a part and maybe the earth is in a natural warming cycle? When it comes down to it, for sure, we are playing a part. But how big the part is noone knows.
The whole Northern Hemisphere just experienced the coldest winter in recent memory, with Canada and the states experiencing the coldest January in 45 years.
Im not a full blown skeptic, Im just not a full blown believer as to humans are fully responsible. I think there are more causes at work than just C02 emissions is all
Maugrim, Oil is not about to run out. The cheaper easy to get at oil is on the slide, but there are trillions of barrels of oil littered about the planet, it is just harder to process. Also, not to mention synthetic oils from coals etc.
As for the way ahead GW wise, we have two areas yet to be developed on in the debate, self -righting mechanisms within our biosphere and the impending new quantum technology threshold this century will usher in (LHC et al) and give humanity energy sources way beyond half-baked windmills, solar panels etc.
Those of you who remember the late 60’s and 70’s environmental warnings of doom that came to nought , it is happening again. The underlying cause high oil prices!
Ummmmmmm, after some 40 years in Astronomy, as a hobby, I have came to realise that we, humans etc, live on an insignificant lickle ball of dust going round a smallich (cosmically) “atom” bomb……….This atom bomb is going round our galaxy once every 250,000 years or so and, funily enough, is taking us with it. Now, unless I am totally wrong, and, as I am human I might be, our galaxy is full of dust and gas and other “stuff” that we don’t know about or even invent to try to prove we know what we are taking about. We move through the plane of the galaxy as we get carried round by the sun…………….Up and down, up and down like a nice sine wave………….Ok, who is thinking what I am thinking? Gas and dust, dust and gas………..We move through this stuff from time to time……………..One heats us up, the other cools us down…………………?
I am NOT saying humans are NOT at fault because we are but………………………Just my tuppence worth
An article published a short while ago concluded that the sun cannot be responsible for global warming because it only varies 0.5%. Only?? That is a lot.
Another study concluded that man’s contribution to global warming is 0.11%. Why is 0.5% insignificant, and 0.11% huge. There is some illogical thinking here.
Not what we heard at the local astronomical society on friday night… Some scientists say there may be a link with cosmic rays. The suns magnetic field changes and so can not protect us from CR. The more CR that seed clouds and make them rain the less cover we have. Give them time and it will be proved…
One Globel Warming Sceptic…
von Dawson’s Express
PS Bring back Steam Trains!!!!
Bravo, Angelo Thane… Excellent Idea and such a well written post that i read all the way to the end without blinking
If you Global Warming crybabies put as much time, energy and money into planting trees as you do into whining about “the human destruction of the earth”, perhaps you could lessen the effects of human activity on this planet.
This is the time of year in the northern hemisphere to plant trees. The hardest thing about actually doing that is to get up off your dead ass, get out the door, spend money, transport the trees to the site, and then whack ’em in deep, straight and tight.
You have to make sure the roots don’t have air pockets so that the hair roots that the trees get their initial sustanance don’t dry out.
You also have to FOLLOW UP on your plantings to make sure the weeds don’t choke out your trees. Chemical or hand weeding is a must with seedlings less than 3 or 4 feet tall.
Make sure you shoot all the deer and rabbits that are a threat to your new seedlings, or at least spend enough time around them that the woodland critters won’t ruin your efforts. If you can get your trees to survive two years and get above the browse line of the deer, they will probably make it.
It is something to think about while you are sipping latte and wondering who you are going to spew your liberal venom on next.
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Right on Marcellus,
They can even get the trees for free by joining the Arbor Day Foundation.org.
If we could only collect the nuts this issue is shaking out of the trees and plant them we could get several more acres planted, a much better contribution.
Collecting nuts is a great idea. You don’t even have to plant them yourself. If you take them out to the edge of your favorite woods and leave them in a pile, the squirrels will take care of them. We left 5 bushels on the edge of our favorite squirrel hunting woods last year and the critters buried all but a few husks within a week’s time.
That is good info for all of you who have walnut trees in your yard and don’t like the mess from when they drop. Collect them, take them out to the country, feed your little furry friends and reduce carbon.
Hey “angelo thane peterson” , You should take this idea to NELHA (Natural Energy Lab Hawaii Authority) near Kona Hawaii. They had something similar in the ’70’s, but the plug was pulled when the “energy crisis” ended (it was a fake one anyway).
Also Alex, thanks for the link. I was able to find similar ones, but the news mentioned it again, and the research was analyzed by someone named Jarraud. I have found several of his papers, but none having to do with the cooling over 10 years.
Millions of years ago, the Earth was much warmer globaly, anyone who’s learned a little bit about the dinosaur times knows this. And guess what? The Earth did just fine back then…and there were no humans. However you want to spin it, there is simply not enough evidence one way or the other to deduce climate change is human caused. And if the world does get warmer and the seas rise, big deal, life isn’t going to end. We need to stop overestimating our impact. We are realitivley powerless compard to nature. But it can’t hurt to reduce emmisons, but there’s no need to through a fit about it. Enough of the hippie psuedo science.
Oh yeah, and if we are causing global warming, then good, because then we won’t have ice ages anymore and we’ll have summer all the time. We can grow food all year round. Maybe global warming is a blessing in disguise.
Dave, global warming causes ice ages. When the ice caps melt, much more liquid water is available for evaporation and therefore precipitation. A common misconception is that cooler temperatures cause ice ages. The truth is, ice ages happen when there is so much snow during the winter that it fails to completely melt over the course of the summer; the reflective properties of the snow cover then cause temperatures to lower.
Also, since when can the IPCC be considered a proper scientific body when so many of the names involved with it have actually withdrawn themselves from it? More science, less politics on the blog, please.
there was no million or billion years.
the earth is in its 6000 years it evan says that in the bible.
but i agree
there is no such thing as global warming!!!
i agree with DMITRY on the 6000 years
but i dont know if global warming exists
If Co2 heats why don’t we use it to run cars and heat buildings? Greenhouses use a Co2 “poison” level of 1000pmm which is great for plant growth and has not hurt anyone yet spending a long period of time in such an environment. Greenhouse still have to have expensive heaters at night to keep plants from freezing. Now the current level of Co2 is about 380pmm and this is considered dangerous. Also I must confess that my degree is not in climatogy so I yield the floor to Al Gore, for his next mulimillion dollar blitz on ” Global Xxxxxxx Climate Change.” I almost forgot to add he doesn’t have a degree in climatogy either.
Hey Ian, here is an article to keep the troops in line.
http://penshorn.com/2008/05/11/attention-activists–please-do-not-use-the-term-global-warming.aspx