The STS-400 Shuttle Rescue Mission Scenario

Space shuttle Atlantis (left) and Endeavour stand on Launch Pads 39A and 39B at NASA's Kennedy Space Center in Florida. This is likely the last time this will happen. Image Credit: NASA

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Two space shuttles now sit out on the launch pads at Kennedy Space Center: Atlantis on 39A for the much anticipated Hubble Repair mission, scheduled to launch on May 12. Over on 39B sits Endeavour, which made the slow journey there early on Friday and she is now poised for the STS-400 LON (Launch On Need) Mission, a mission no one hopes will happen. This would be a mission to rescue the crew of Atlantis should the shuttle be struck by debris – either during launch or during the mission (read more about the risks of debris hit during the Hubble Mission). If STS-400 were necessary what would actually happen?

In the situation where Atlantis and the crew are not in immediate danger, but, for example, the shuttle’s thermal protection system (heat tiles) were compromised from debris hit (from insulating foam from the external tank like Columbia was, or space debris) and the shuttle would be unable to land safely, Endeavour would be launched at a specific time and inclination in order be able to rendezvous with Atlantis. The rescue flight would last 8 days and go as follows:

Once Endeavour and her four-person crew reaches orbit, the preparations for rendezvous with Atlantis would begin. Unlike all previous post-Return to Flight missions, the crew would not perform the standard Thermal Protection System inspection on Flight Day Two, but instead by done after the STS-125 crew was rescued.

Rendezvous of the two shuttles.   Credit: NASA, via NASA Spaceflight.com
Rendezvous of the two shuttles. Credit: NASA, via NASA Spaceflight.com

Endeavour would rendezvous with Atlantis the day after launching from the Kennedy Space Center. The two space shuttles would then approach each other payload bay to payload bay, at a 90-degree angle, about 44 ft apart. Endeavour’s robotic arm would grapple the orbital boom system on Atlantis. After Endeavour successfully grapples Atlantis, Endeavour would take attitude control of the “stack” of the two shuttles.

Then, comes the most interesting – and dangerous – part. Spacewalkers from Endeavour would do one space walk on Flight Day 3 to string a tether between both shuttles. On Flight Day 4, they would conduct two spacewalks to retrieve their colleagues from Atlantis.

Once Atlantis’ crew is safely aboard the rescue orbiter, Endeavour’s crew will maneuver the two vehicles to provide the right separation, which would occur during daylight so the crew could watch for any problems.

Atlantis would be released and be commanded from the ground to do deorbit and landing maneuvers and likely crash into the Pacific Ocean.

Seating on the rescue flight return.  Credit: NASA, via NASA Spaceflight.com
Seating on the rescue flight return. Credit: NASA, via NASA Spaceflight.com

On Flight Day 5 the dual crew would inspect Endeavour for damage, and if all was well, land on Flight Day 8.

Astronaut John Grunsfeld, one of the four spacewalkers who will fly on Atlantis, says keeping the Hubble telescope flying is a mission worth the risk.

“When you think about risk, it is all relative to what is the reward, and I think in the big picture Hubble is something that I certainly feel is worth risking my life for because it is about something that is so much bigger than all of us,” Grunsfeld said. “It is about science, it is about inspiration, it is about discovery. It is about all the kids who will look at the Hubble images and dream.”

Source: NASA Spaceflight.com

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NASA Weighing Debris Hit Risk for Hubble Repair Mission

The odds of Loss Of Crew and Vehicle for the STS-125 mission. Credit: NASASpaceflight.com

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There’s good news and bad news for the upcoming Hubble repair mission. The good news is that the statistical threat posed to space shuttle Atlantis and her crew by micro-meteoroid orbiting debris (MMOD) is currently no greater than last year, even with the collision of two satellites in February and other recent satellite breakups. The chance of the shuttle being hit by MMOD during a mission to Hubble is 1 in 185. But that’s also the bad news. The 1 in 185 chance of a catastrophic impact to a shuttle in Hubble’s orbit is, obviously, quite high, and higher than NASA’s limit of 1 in 200. The final decision of whether this risk is acceptable will be discussed at a Flight Readiness Review meeting on April 30. It is anticipated that NASA will override the limit and accept the risk. Without a servicing mission by a space shuttle crew, the telescope is not expected to last more than another year or two.

According to an article on NASASpaceflight.com, NASA analysts were able to reach this particular ratio by making use of the known probability of detecting and repairing critical Thermal Protection System damage while on orbit, factoring in the length of the mission and orientation of the shuttle during the mission (both attached and unattached to the Hubble) and even adding in how a “rescue mission” would come into play in the event of a catastrophic impact.

NASA guidelines say the Space Shuttle Program cannot accept a Loss of Crew and Vehicle (LOCV) ratio in excess of 1 in 200.

A hole in the shuttle from a micrometeroid after a mission in 2006. Credit: NASA
A hole in the shuttle from a micrometeroid after a mission in 2006. Credit: NASA

Immediately after the Kosmos/Iridium satellite collision and factoring in other recent breakups which include the Chinese ASAT/Fengyun 1C, the Kosmos 2421, the risk of LOCV increased to 1 in 157 for Atlantis.

But with the long delay for STS-125, mission planners were able to investigate and implement several mitigation tactics and changes to the flight’s activities that brought the risk back down to 1 in 185 chance.

The NASA team is also looking at different options that will reduce the risk, which include eliminating one EVA day (which would reduce risk by ~6 percent to 1 in 196), eliminating two EVA days (which would reduce risk by ~12 percent to 1 in 208), or eliminating the crew off duty day after the Hubble is released (which would reduce risk to 1 in 201).

Delaying the mission would likely have no effect on the statistical risk. The mission was already delayed when data handling processor on the spacecraft failed in September 2008 and again due to Hurricane Ike in October 2008. With the mitigation tactics, the 1 in 185 chance is no higher than it was determined to be last September.

NASA also analyzed the risk for STS-400 rescue flight, which is 1 in 294. That ratio is only if the crew does an inspection of the Wing Leading Edge panels and Nose Cap and has a short mission duration of just seven days. If the STS-400 crew does not perform any TPS inspection, the LOCV ratio rises to 1 in 217.

But everything is going full-steam-ahead for the mission; Atlantis is on launch pad 39 B being prepared for the mission, Endeavour will be sent to pad 39 A tomorrow (Friday) to prepare for the STS-400 rescue mission, if needed (otherwise Endeavour will move to pad 39 B for the next shuttle mission, STS-127 to the ISS scheduled for June) and the the STS-125 crew is in full training and preparations for the flight.

Credit: NASASpaceflight.com

Interview with Astronaut Mike Massimino on the Hubble Servicing Mission, Viewing Earth from Space and … Twitter?

The long-awaited final Hubble servicing mission is a month out now, and the crew of seven astronauts who have been in limbo since at least October are finally gearing up to go. The space shuttle Atlantis is set to launch from NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida on May 12.

This will be the second Hubble mission for Astronaut Mike Massimino, and he’s been sharing his excitement about the mission via live interviews from NASA’s Johnson Space Flight Center and Twitter, a popular social networking site. We took advantage of the chance to ask Massimino some questions.

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Astronaut Mike Massimino suits up for spacewalk practice in the pool. Credit: NASA

So the final Hubble servicing mission is finally going to happen. How are you feeling about it? 

I’m feeling great. I’m ready, I think my crew’s ready, and looking forward to going into space and seeing Hubble again and seeing the Earth from space.  

On Twitter, you “tweeted” a few days ago: “viewing the Earth from space is the most beautiful site, words cannot describe the experience, can’t wait to see that sight again!” And it made me wonder how long you’ve wanted to have that perspective, and whether you dreamed of this sort of thing as a kid?

I dreamt about being an astronaut when I was a little kid. I was 6 years old when Neil Armstrong first walked on the moon.  But the view of the Earth … it is just so awesome to see the Earth from space. There’s no way to really prepare you for it; we can practice our space walks in the neutral buoyancy lab, we can go to simulators, but  there’s nothing that can prepare you for what your eyes will actually see when it comes to the beauty of space and the beauty of the Earth. I can’t really describe it with words, but I can describe what my thoughts were. When I really had the chance to look, while I was spacewalking, the first thought that went through my mind was “if you were in Heaven, this is what you would see.” And then the thought that replaced it was “no, no, it’s more beautiful than that. This is what Heaven must look like.”

You performed two spacewalks to service the telescope during the STS-109 mission in 2002. Since then you’ve worked in Mission Control and taught some classes. Why so long between missions? 

I flew in 2002, then I was hoping to get reassigned to another shuttle flight at some point, but the Columbia accident occurred. In the three years following Columbia, we didn’t have very many flights. I got assigned soon after STS 121 to the Hubble Space Telescope flight. Then comes that saga. My crew and I were assigned around Halloween, October 2006 … We thought we might be flying about a year and a half later. We were two weeks from launching in October of last year, and then we got delayed because something broke on the telescope. It’s been good for job security I guess. It gives you more time to get ready, and they hang onto you a little bit longer. 

Have you noticed any differences between preparing for this mission and preparing for the STS-109 flight?

STS-109 was my first flight. I was trying to figure out what I was going to do not to get in everybody’s way. I was wondering how I would react to space; I was kind of concerned about how I was going to do. This flight here, I’m pretty confident about how I’ll do … and I’m concerned a little bit more about how the team will do. It’s … a little more responsibility. I’m the experienced guy on our spacewalking team now. Actually it’s a little bit more enjoyable because I know what I’m going to do and I’m looking forward to it.

You’re on Twitter! Why? 

I feel very fortunate to have the opportunity to be an astronaut. I think I’m extremely lucky. We get to do so many wonderful things; one of my interests has been to try to share that with people the best I can. It seemed like this Twitter idea was a great way to share our experiences with other people. One of the great things about Twitter it doesn’t really take that long. You have 140 characters … I checked this weekend and we were up to 35,000 people–

You’re up to 40,000 now

… I figure if there are that many people listening, that’s a pretty good deal. You get responses to it. It’s just wonderful to hear the excitement and all the good wishes from people around the world. 

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The May servicing mission will be the fourth and final trip to the Hubble Space Telescope. Over the course of five spacewalks, astronauts will install two new instruments, repair two inactive instruments and replace parts that will keep the telescope functioning at least into 2014.

Check out Mike Massimino’s Twitter profile here, where he’ll continue tweeting about mission preparations. More information about the servicing mission is here, and more information about the Atlantis crew is here.