Satellites Spot Giant Rogue Waves

Once dismissed as a nautical myth, freakish ocean waves that rise as tall as ten-storey apartment blocks have been accepted as a leading cause of large ship sinkings. Results from ESA’s ERS satellites helped establish the widespread existence of these ‘rogue’ waves and are now being used to study their origins.

Severe weather has sunk more than 200 supertankers and container ships exceeding 200 metres in length during the last two decades. Rogue waves are believed to be the major cause in many such cases.

Mariners who survived similar encounters have had remarkable stories to tell. In February 1995 the cruiser liner Queen Elizabeth II met a 29-metre high rogue wave during a hurricane in the North Atlantic that Captain Ronald Warwick described as “a great wall of water? it looked as if we were going into the White Cliffs of Dover.”

And within the week between February and March 2001 two hardened tourist cruisers ? the Bremen and the Caledonian Star ? had their bridge windows smashed by 30-metre rogue waves in the South Atlantic, the former ship left drifting without navigation or propulsion for a period of two hours.

“The incidents occurred less than a thousand kilometres apart from each other,” said Wolfgang Rosenthal – Senior Scientist with the GKSS Forschungszentrum GmbH research centre, located in Geesthacht in Germany – who has studied rogue waves for years. “All the electronics were switched off on the Bremen as they drifted parallel to the waves, and until they were turned on again the crew were thinking it could have been their last day alive.

“The same phenomenon could have sunk many less lucky vessels: two large ships sink every week on average, but the cause is never studied to the same detail as an air crash. It simply gets put down to ‘bad weather’.”

Offshore platforms have also been struck: on 1 January 1995 the Draupner oil rig in the North Sea was hit by a wave whose height was measured by an onboard laser device at 26 metres, with the highest waves around it reaching 12 metres.

Objective radar evidence from this and other platforms ? radar data from the North Sea’s Goma oilfield recorded 466 rogue wave encounters in 12 years – helped convert previously sceptical scientists, whose statistics showed such large deviations from the surrounding sea state should occur only once every 10000 years.

The fact that rogue waves actually take place relatively frequently had major safety and economic implications, since current ships and offshore platforms are built to withstand maximum wave heights of only 15 metres.

In December 2000 the European Union initiated a scientific project called MaxWave to confirm the widespread occurrence of rogue waves, model how they occur and consider their implications for ship and offshore structure design criteria. And as part of MaxWave, data from ESA’s ERS radar satellites were first used to carry out a global rogue wave census.

“Without aerial coverage from radar sensors we had no chance of finding anything,” added Rosenthal, who headed the three-year MaxWave project. “All we had to go on was radar data collected from oil platforms. So we were interested in using ERS from the start.”

ESA’s twin spacecraft ERS-1 and 2 ? launched in July 1991 and April 1995 respectively ? both have a Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) as their main instrument.

The SAR works in several different modes; while over the ocean it works in wave mode, acquiring 10 by 5 km ‘imagettes’ of the sea surface every 200 km.

These small imagettes are then mathematically transformed into averaged-out breakdowns of wave energy and direction, called ocean-wave spectra. ESA makes these spectra publicly available; they are useful for weather centres to improve the accuracy of their sea forecast models.

“The raw imagettes are not made available, but with their resolution of ten metres we believed they contained a wealth of useful information by themselves,” said Rosenthal. “Ocean wave spectra provide mean sea state data but imagettes depict the individual wave heights including the extremes we were interested in.

“ESA provided us with three weeks’ worth of data ? around 30,000 separate imagettes ? selected around the time that the Bremen and Caledonian Star were struck. The images were processed and automatically searched for extreme waves at the German Aerospace Centre (DLR).”

Despite the relatively brief length of time the data covered, the MaxWave team identified more than ten individual giant waves around the globe above 25 metres in height.

“Having proved they existed, in higher numbers than anyone expected, the next step is to analyse if they can be forecasted,” Rosenthal added. “MaxWave formally concluded at the end of last year although two lines of work are carrying on from it ? one is to improve ship design by learning how ships are sunk, and the other is to examine more satellite data with a view to analysing if forecasting is possible.”

A new research project called WaveAtlas will use two years worth of ERS imagettes to create a worldwide atlas of rogue wave events and carry out statistical analyses. The Principal Investigator is Susanne Lehner, Associate Professor in the Division of Applied Marine Physics at the University of Miami, who also worked on MaxWave while at DLR, with Rosental a co-investigator on the project.

“Looking through the imagettes ends up feeling like flying, because you can follow the sea state along the track of the satellite,” Lehner said. “Other features like ice floes, oil slicks and ships are also visible on them, and so there’s interest in using them for additional fields of study.

“Only radar satellites can provide the truly global data sampling needed for statistical analysis of the oceans, because they can see through clouds and darkness, unlike their optical counterparts. In stormy weather, radar images are thus the only relevant information available.”

So far some patterns have already been found. Rogue waves are often associated with sites where ordinary waves encounter ocean currents and eddies. The strength of the current concentrates the wave energy, forming larger waves ? Lehner compares it to an optical lens, concentrating energy in a small area.

This is especially true in the case of the notoriously dangerous Agulhas current off the east coast of South Africa, but rogue wave associations are also found with other currents such as the Gulf Stream in the North Atlantic, interacting with waves coming down from the Labrador Sea.

However the data show rogue waves also occur well away from currents, often occurring in the vicinity of weather fronts and lows. Sustained winds from long-lived storms exceeding 12 hours may enlarge waves moving at an optimum speed in sync with the wind ? too quickly and they’d move ahead of the storm and dissipate, too slowly and they would fall behind.

“We know some of the reasons for the rogue waves, but we do not know them all,” Rosenthal concluded. The WaveAtlas project is scheduled to continue until the first quarter of 2005.

Original Source: ESA News Release

Tethys Revealed

Like a half-full Moon, cratered Tethys (1060 kilometers, 659 miles across) hangs before Cassini in this narrow angle camera view taken on July 3, 2004.

Voyager images showed a large fracture on Tethys about 750 kilometers (470 miles) long (not seen in this view.) Cassini will investigate this and other features on Tethys during two planned flybys, the first occurring on September 24, 2005.

The image was taken in visible light from a distance of 1.7 million kilometers (1 million miles) from Tethys and at a Sun-Tethys-spacecraft, or phase, angle of about 97 degrees. The image scale is 10 kilometers (6 miles) per pixel.

The Cassini-Huygens mission is a cooperative project of NASA, the European Space Agency and the Italian Space Agency. The Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a division of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, manages the Cassini-Huygens mission for NASA’s Office of Space Science, Washington, D.C. The imaging team is based at the Space Science Institute, Boulder, Colorado.

For more information about the Cassini-Huygens mission, visit http://saturn.jpl.nasa.gov and the Cassini imaging team home page, http://ciclops.org.

Original Source: CICLOPS News Release

You Have My Permission

I get a lot of emails from people wondering if they can quote Universe Today for their own newsletter, school project, etc. My answer is always “yes”. If you think the material in Universe Today is helpful, you’ve all got my permission to use it for any purpose whatsoever. Republish it into your own website, copy-paste material for your Star Trek fanzine, post articles in your forum, or use it for a book you’re writing. Be my guest. All I ask is that you give Universe Today credit, and a link back to http://www.universetoday.com if you can.

This permission is only for stuff in Universe Today, not any outside links. That belongs to them, not me. Also, most of the photos I use are license free (the NASA stuff, anyway), but you should always track back the original owner and make sure you’re allowed to use them.

If you’ve got a website, the easiest way to do this is with the syndication service. Put one line of HTML onto any webpage, and the latest edition of Universe Today will automatically pop in there. Here’s a link to the syndication instructions. Universe Today is also maintained in RSS format, so you can gather articles that way as well. Here’s a link to the RSS edition.

Hope that clears it up.

Fraser Cain
Publisher
Universe Today

Dark Energy Gets Another Boost

Using observations of 3,000 quasars discovered by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS), scientists have made the most precise measurement to date of the cosmic clustering of diffuse hydrogen gas. These quasars–100 times more than have been used in such analyses in the past–are at distances of eight to ten billion light years, making them among the most distant objects known.

Filaments of gas between the quasars and the Earth absorb light in the quasar’s spectra, allowing researchers to map the gas distribution and to measure how clumpy the gas is on scales of one million light years. The degree of clumping of this gas, in turn, can answer fundamental questions such as whether neutrinos have mass and what the nature of dark energy is, hypothesized to be driving the accelerated expansion of the universe.

“Scientists have long studied the clustering of galaxies to learn about cosmology,” explained Uros Seljak of Princeton University, one of the SDSS researchers. “However, the physics of galaxy formation and clustering is very complicated. In particular, because most of the mass of the universe is made up of dark matter, an uncertainty arises from our lack of understanding of the relation between the distribution of galaxies (which we see) and the dark matter (which we can’t see but the cosmological models predict).” The gas filaments seen in the quasar spectra are thought to be distributed very much like the dark matter, removing this source of uncertainty.

“We have known for several years that quasar spectra are a unique tool for studying the distribution of dark matter in the early universe, but the quantity and quality of the SDSS data have made that vision a reality,” said David Weinberg of Ohio State University, a member of the SDSS team. “It’s amazing that we can learn so much about the structure of the universe 10 billion years ago.”

Seljak and his collaborators on the SDSS combined the analysis of the quasar spectra with measurements of galaxy clustering, gravitational lensing, and ripples in the Cosmic Microwave Background observed by NASA’s Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP). This gives the best determination to date of the clustering of matter in the universe from scales of one million light years to many billions of light years. This comprensive view allows detailed comparison with theoretical models for the history and constituents of the universe.

“This is the most rigorous test to date of the predictions of the cosmological model of inflation; inflation passes with flying colors,” added Seljak.

Inflationary theory states that right after the Big Bang the universe underwent a period of extremely rapid acceleration, during which tiny fluctuations were transformed into astronomical-sized wrinkles in space-time, ultimately observable in the clumping of astronomical objects. The theory of inflation predicts a very specific dependence of the degree of clustering with scale, which the current analysis strongly supports. Other scenarios, such as the cyclic universe theory, make very similar predictions and are also in agreement with the latest results.

Early analyses by the WMAP team and others had hinted at deviations in cosmic clustering from the prediction of inflation. If correct, this would have required a major revision of the current paradigm for origin of structure in the universe.

“The new data and the corresponding analysis substantially improves the observational precision of this test,” said Patrick McDonald of Princeton University and one of the finding’s authors. “The new results are in nearly perfect agreement with inflation.”

“The clustering of matter is a precise and powerful test of cosmological models, and the present analysis is consistent with, and extends our previous studies,” agreed Adrian Pope of The Johns Hopkins University, who led an earlier analysis of the clustering of SDSS galaxies.

The new analysis also provides the best information on the mass of the neutrino. Terrestial experiments–resulting in the 2002 Nobel Prize in Physics–have definitively shown that neutrinos have mass, but these experiments could only measure the difference in mass between the three different types of neutrinos known. The presence of neutrinos would affect the cosmic clustering on million-light-year scales, exactly the scales probed with the quasar spectra.

The new analysis suggests that the lightest neutrino mass has to be less than two times the previously measured mass difference. The new measurements also eliminate the possibility of an additional massive neutrino family suggested by some terrestrial experiments.

“Cosmology, the science of the very large, is able to tell us about properties of fundamental particles, such as neutrinos,” said Lam Hui of The U.S. Department of Energy’s Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, who has been carrying out an independent analysis of these data, together with Scott Burles of MIT and others.

The new analysis also provides further support for the existence of dark energy, and suggests that dark energy is unchanging in time. This analysis provides the best limits on its time evolution to date.

“No evidence of dark energy changing in time has emerged so far, and the possibility that the universe will be torn apart by a big rip in the future is substantially reduced by these new results,” said Alexey Makarov of Princeton University, who also took part in this research.

Original Source: SDSS News Release

Shuttle Engine Tested for Return to Flight

Engineers at NASA’s Stennis Space Center (SSC) in Mississippi have successfully tested one of the engines that will carry the next Space Shuttle into orbit.

The test today was the first on a complete Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) that will be used on the Return to Flight mission. The engine will be shipped to NASA’s Kennedy Space Center for installation on the Space Shuttle Discovery. The Return to Flight mission, designated STS-114, will launch no earlier than next March and will go to the International Space Station.

The test began at about 4:59 p.m. EDT. It ran for 520 seconds, the length of time it takes a Space Shuttle to reach orbit. Initial indications are all test objectives were successfully met.

“It’s good to see hardware processing for Discovery moving forward at Stennis and other NASA centers,” said Michael Kostelnik, deputy associate administrator for International Space Station and Space Shuttle Programs. “Clearly, we’re making real progress in safely returning the Shuttle to flight and enabling the Vision for Space Exploration.”

“This Return to Flight test is a testimony to the hard work of the NASA and contractor team that developed and continues to improve the SSME’s capability to take humans to low Earth orbit safely,” said Miguel Rodriguez, director of the Propulsion Test Directorate at SSC. “It is a huge source of pride to the NASA and Boeing team to be part of this great program.”

Developed in the 1970s, the Space Shuttle Main Engine is the world’s most sophisticated reusable rocket engine. A Space Shuttle has three main engines. Each is 14 feet long, weighs about 7,000 pounds and is seven-and-a-half feet in diameter at the end of its nozzle. It generates almost 400,000 pounds of thrust.

Engineers conduct rigorous testing to verify an engine is ready to fly. The most modern versions of the SSME include a new high-pressure fuel turbopump that was first used in July 2001.

“The Space Shuttle Main Engine that flies today has gone through major upgrades and is safer, stronger and more reliable than the one that flew on the first Shuttle flight in 1981,” said Michael Rudolphi, Space Shuttle Propulsion Manager.

The Rocketdyne Propulsion and Power division of The Boeing Co. of Canoga Park, Calif., manufactures the Space Shuttle Main Engines. Pratt and Whitney, a United Technologies Company of West Palm Beach, Fla., builds the high-pressure turbopumps. The Space Shuttle Main Engine project is managed by the Space Shuttle Propulsion Office at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala. SSC conducts engine tests.

For more information about NASA’s Return to Flight efforts, visit:

http://www.nasa.gov/returntoflight

Original Source: NASA News Release

First View of Rhea

As the first artificial satellite in the Saturn system, Cassini returned images of its native siblings following a successful insertion into orbit, including this unmagnified view of Rhea (1528 kilometers, 950 miles across). Rhea is Saturn?s second largest moon, and like Dione, the Voyager spacecraft found one of its hemispheres to covered with bright, wispy streaks which may be water frost.

This view shows a heavily cratered surface, and thus it is most likely an ancient one. Many of the craters visible here have central peaks. Cassini soon will look for clues to help unlock the moon?s geologic history. The spacecraft is slated to fly by Rhea at a distance of only 500 kilometers (311 miles) on November 26, 2005.

The image was taken in visible light with the narrow angle camera on July 2, 2004, from a distance of about 990,000 kilometers (615,000 miles) from Rhea and at a Sun-Rhea-spacecraft, or phase, angle of about 109 degrees. The image scale is 6 kilometers (4 miles) per pixel.

The Cassini-Huygens mission is a cooperative project of NASA, the European Space Agency and the Italian Space Agency. The Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a division of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, manages the Cassini-Huygens mission for NASA’s Office of Space Science, Washington, D.C. The imaging team is based at the Space Science Institute, Boulder, Colorado.

For more information about the Cassini-Huygens mission, visit http://saturn.jpl.nasa.gov and the Cassini imaging team home page, http://ciclops.org.

Original Source: CICLOPS News Release

All Moved In, Now I Need a New Telescope

Well, we survived the trip and have moved into our new house on Vancouver Island. It was pretty easy on me, since we hired movers for the first time in 11 moves. The place is great, with a massive backyard, and lots of space. One of my neighbors informed me that we were moving into the cleanest house in the city. Apparently the former owners had a reputation for being… meticulous.

As I’d hoped, the skies are much much darker, so I’m thinking of getting a new telescope, but I need your help. What do you think I should get? If you love your telescope, let me know what you’ve got and a few paragraphs of why you like it. Take a photo of you and your telescope, if you dare. I’ll publish an article with a bunch of your photos and reviews, so everyone can take advantage of your recommendations.

Send me an email at [email protected].

Thanks!

Fraser Cain
Publisher
Universe Today

Hawking Revises Black Hole Theory

Stephen Hawking has reconsidered his long-held opinion that black holes destroy information that goes into them. Originally he believed that when matter was added to a black hole, all aspects of the particles are stripped away, leaving only their mass and spin. Hawking has been thinking about the problem for 30 years, and now believes that the information is maintained. He has cryptically said that black holes only appear to form, but later open up and release information about what fell inside. He’s expected to explain more fully at an astrophysics conference this week.

Spitzer Finds Starburst Galaxies

A major breakthrough in pinpointing some of the most primordial and violently star forming galaxies in the Universe has been made by a joint collaboration of UK and US astronomers using the Spitzer Space Telescope to resolve primordial galaxies initially detected by the James Clerk Maxwell telescope [JCMT]. UK astronomers from the University of Kent, The Royal Observatory Edinburgh and the University of Oxford teamed up with American cosmologists to finally identify these elusive galaxies. The work will be published in the Astrophysical Journal Supplement Spitzer Special Issue in September 2004.

Back in 1995, the UK’s SCUBA camera (Sub-millimetre Common User Bolometer Array) on the James Clerk Maxwell Telescope in Hawaii, which detects light with wavelengths just under a millimetre, began finding fuzzy traces of very distant, primordial galaxies. Some of these are either too distant or too dusty to be seen even by the Hubble Space Telescope. But SCUBA’s images on their own, and those of other similar cameras, are not fine enough: within the fuzzy SCUBA detections are sometimes many galaxies. So astronomers have spent enormous effort following up these SCUBA galaxies on other telescopes, particularly radio telescopes, to answer the question: which one is the primordial galaxy, and which ones are in the foreground? But even with the most sensitive radio telescope images ever made, only around half the SCUBA galaxies can be pinpointed unambiguously. Even worse, the radio telescopes miss all of the most distant and most primordial of SCUBA’s galaxies.

UK and US astronomers teamed up to combine Spitzer’s sharp images with SCUBA’s ability to find primordial galaxies. The team were stunned to find all the SCUBA galaxies in Spitzers field of view detected in only ten minutes with Spitzer. These breakthrough observations, described as a watershed by the team, finally give astronomers a way of unambiguously pinpointing even the most distant of SCUBA’s galaxies. This could only be done by combining SCUBA with the Spitzer Space Telescope: SCUBA shows there is a primordial, violent starburst somewhere in the vicinity, which is then pinpointed by Spitzer.

At the same time, Spitzer solved another mystery about SCUBA galaxies. When Galileo first trained a telescope at the Milky Way, he was astonished to find the fuzzy light resolved into many individual stars. This is, in essence, what the team of astronomers have done with the diffuse extragalactic background light seen from all directions at a wavelength of about half a millimetre. By comparing the distinct Spitzer galaxies with the SCUBA data, the team discovered that they had identified the sources of this cosmic background for the first time. This background is caused by an important population of galaxies: most of the stars in the early Universe are created in these galaxies, and star formation is where everything comes from – including the material that makes planets like our own. Finding where this star formation happens tells us, in a sense, where we came from. Identifying most of these galaxies is a second coup for the joint UK/US team.

Dr. Stephen Serjeant (University of Kent, UK) said, Our Spitzer Space Telescope images picked our galaxies out astonishingly quickly, in only ten minutes, when the community has been pouring effort into detecting them. This really is pioneering work and a great triumph for the Spitzer Space Telescope and the UKs SCUBA camera. To cap it all, at the same time weve found the galaxies that dominate the star formation in the early Universe. The Earth and everything on it is made from the dust created in stars like those people, trees, beef burgers, the lot.

Dr. Rob Ivison (Royal Observatory Edinburgh, UK) said, In 10 minutes, the Spitzer Space Telescope has managed to pinpoint the galaxies we have been chasing for 7 years. We can finally begin to sort the babies and teenagers of the galaxy world from the adults and senior citizens.

Dr. Herv Dole (University of Arizona USA and IAS, Orsay, France) said, These Spitzer observations were designed as the first joint survey using the MIPS and IRAC instruments on Spitzer, to assess the instrument sensitivities. As a matter of fact, it’s a great technological, operational and scientific success, overwhelming our wildest expectations. This demonstrates the amazing capabilities of Spitzer for studying galaxy evolution at high redshifts; no doubt that deeper and larger ongoing surveys will give even more exciting results!

Dr. Steve Willner (Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, USA) said, We expected to detect one or a few of these galaxies, but I was stunned that we detected all of the ones we looked at. The new data finally tell us what these galaxies are all about. We’ve known all along that they had to be far away and rapidly turning all their gas into stars, but now we know their true distances and ages.

Original Source: PPARC News Release

New Frontiers Missions Shortlisted

NASA today announced the selection of two proposals for detailed study as candidates for the next mission in the agency’s New Frontiers Program.

The proposals are missions that would drop robotic landers into a crater at the south pole of the moon and return samples to Earth, and a mission that would orbit Jupiter from pole to pole for the first time to conduct an in-depth study of the giant planet.

“These two outstanding proposals were judged to be the best science value among the seven submitted to NASA in 2004,” said Dr. Ed Weiler, associate administrator for space science at NASA Headquarters, Washington. “It was a very tough decision, but we’re excited at the prospect of the discoveries either of them could make in continuing our mission of exploration of the solar system, and what they could tell us about our place in the universe,” he added.

Each proposal will now receive up to $1.2 million to conduct a seven-month implementation feasibility study focused on cost, management and technical plans, including educational outreach and small business involvement.

Following detailed mission concept studies, due for submission by March 2005, NASA intends to select one of the mission proposals for full development as the second New Frontiers mission by May 2005. The selected New Frontiers science mission must be ready for launch no later than June 30, 2010, within a mission cost cap of $700 million.

The selected full mission investigations, and the Principal Investigators, are:

– “Moonrise: Lunar South Pole-Aitken Basin Sample Return Mission,” Dr. Michael Duke Principal Investigator, Colorado School of Mines, Boulder. This investigation proposes to land two identical landers on the surface near the moon’s south pole and to return over two kilograms (about five pounds) of lunar materials from a region of the moon’s surface believed to harbor materials from the moon’s mantle.

– “Juno,” Dr Scott Bolton, Principal Investigator, NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. This investigation proposes to use a highly instrumented spacecraft placed in a polar orbit about the planet Jupiter to investigate the existence of an ice-rock core, determine the global water and ammonia abundances in Jupiter’s atmosphere, study convection and deep wind profiles in the atmosphere, investigate the origin of the jovian magnetic field, and explore the polar magnetosphere.

The two selected proposals were submitted to NASA in February 2004, in response to the New Frontiers Program 2003 and Missions of Opportunity Announcement of Opportunity.

The New Frontiers Program is designed to provide opportunities to conduct several of the medium-class missions identified as the top priority objectives in the Decadal Solar System Exploration Survey, conducted by the Space Studies Board of the National Research Council.

NASA’s New Horizons mission, which will fly by the Pluto-Charon system in 2014 and then target another Kuiper belt object, was designated the first New Frontiers mission.

Original Source: NASA News Release